Prediction vs Result
8.0/10Correct result, off on the scoreline.
The AI report
The model read the outcome but not the detail. It had Scotland at 1–2, and Scotland duly came through — though the real scoreline settled at 0–1, good for 8.0/10.
On chances, the model penciled in 3 goals and the game delivered 1 — 2 fewer than projected.
McGinn found the net, none of whom the model had on its teamsheet of scorers.
Cards ran 4Y/0R on the model's read against 4Y/0R in reality — a discipline read the model got about right.
Full comparison
| Metric | AI Predicted | Actual |
|---|---|---|
| Scoreline | 1–2 | 0–1 |
| Result | Scotland win | Scotland win |
| Total goals | 3 | 1 |
| Scorers | Scott McTominay, Wilson Isidor, Ché Adams | McGinn |
| Yellow cards | 4 | 4 |
| Red cards | 0 | 0 |
| Possessionmodel only | 38%–62% | — |
| Shotsmodel only | 9–17 | — |
| Expected goals (xG)model only | 0.9–2.3 | — |
Score, scorers and cards are official; possession, shots and xG are the model’s projections (no official real counterpart).
Match Prediction
How the Model Sees It Unfold
- 18’
- 34’
- 47’
- Isidor · Bellegarde⚽54’
- 68’
- 76’
- 83’
Match Info
- Tournament
- FIFA World Cup 2026
- Stage
- Group Stage
- Date
- 14 Jun 2026
- Kick-off
- 01:00 (local)
- Stadium
- Gillette Stadium
- City
- Foxborough
Pressing & Heat Zones
Haiti compact mid-block, rare forays down the right flank
Scotland high press, left-flank overload via Robertson, central box entries
Scotland were the superior side from the first whistle at a sun-drenched Gillette Stadium, deploying a high press that suffocated Haiti's attempts to build from the back. McTominay was imperious in the air and on the ball, opening the scoring with a classic central-midfielder's header from Robertson's perfectly-weighted left-wing cross. Haiti, to their enormous credit, refused to wilt. Bellegarde — the most technically gifted player on the pitch — threaded a defence-splitting pass in behind Scotland's aggressive defensive line midway through the second half, and Wilson Isidor finished calmly past Craig Gordon to send the Haitian contingent in the stands into raptures. It was a historic moment: Haiti's first-ever goal at a FIFA World Cup finals. The equaliser threatened to unsettle Scotland, but McTominay's composure in the 76th minute — collecting the ball on the edge of the area and rolling it into the path of Ché Adams — restored the Scots' lead. Adams tucked it away with the confidence of a striker in form. Haiti pushed for a second equaliser but lacked the cutting edge to truly test Gordon again. Scotland hold on for a vital three points to open Group C.
- Scotland dominated possession (62%) and created 2.34 xG — their highest in a group opener since 2022.
- McTominay's towering header from Robertson's cross was the tournament's first goal at Gillette Stadium.
- Haiti's equaliser came against the run of play — Bellegarde's incisive through-ball split Scotland's high line.
- Wilson Isidor's goal was Haiti's first World Cup finals goal in the nation's history.
- Scotland's press averaged 8.3 PPDA in the first half, suffocating Haiti's build-up play.
- Ché Adams converted from close range after McTominay's lay-off — his 4th goal in his last 5 Scotland appearances.
Match Report
FULL TIME — Haiti 1–2 Scotland | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough
A historic afternoon for Haitian football ended in heartbreak, but not before Wilson Isidor etched his name into the record books. Scotland, composed and clinical, opened Group C with a deserved victory — but they were made to work every minute for it.
18' — GOAL SCO 🏴 (0–1): Andy Robertson's delivery from the left was inch-perfect, and Scott McTominay — arriving late at the back post — powered a header into the bottom-right corner. Johny Placide had no chance. Scotland's set-piece and aerial threat had been flagged pre-match, and Haiti paid the price.
34' — YELLOW CARD: Danley Jean Jacques catches Billy Gilmour late in midfield. A cynical foul to break up a Scotland counter.
47' — YELLOW CARD: Grant Hanley goes into the book for a clumsy challenge on Duckens Nazon just after the restart, a sign of Haiti's renewed energy.
54' — GOAL HAI 🇭🇹 (1–1): HISTORY IS MADE. Jean-Ricner Bellegarde picks up the ball in the Scottish half, shifts his weight, and slides a perfectly-weighted through-ball behind the defensive line. Wilson Isidor — on his toes — races clear, steadies himself, and slots past Craig Gordon. Gillette Stadium erupts. Haiti have scored at a World Cup for the very first time.
68' — YELLOW CARD: Carlens Arcus brings down Ché Adams on the counter — a necessary foul, but a booking nonetheless.
76' — GOAL SCO 🏴 (1–2): Scotland respond with composure. McTominay drives forward from midfield, draws two defenders, and lays the ball into the path of Ché Adams six yards out. Adams doesn't miss. 2–1, and the Scots look to have the points wrapped up.
83' — YELLOW CARD: Lyndon Dykes, frustrated after losing possession, lunges in on Hannes Delcroix and picks up a booking.
Haiti threw bodies forward in the final ten minutes but Scotland's defensive shape held firm. Three points for Steve Clarke's side; a moment of history — and genuine pride — for Haiti.