Match Prediction
How the Model Sees It Unfold
- Júnior · Raphinha⚽23’
- 34’Amrabat
- 55’⚽El Kaabi · Hakimi
- Casemiro61’
- 74’Aguerd
- Neymar⚽78’
- 88’El Khannouss
Match Info
- Tournament
- FIFA World Cup 2026
- Stage
- Group Stage
- Date
- 13 Jun 2026
- Kick-off
- 22:00 (local)
- Stadium
- MetLife Stadium
- City
- East Rutherford
Pressing & Heat Zones
Brazil's attacking heat — wide left corridor and central final third domination
Morocco's compact mid-block with right-flank Hakimi surges
Brazil subs
- 23Ederson
- 12Weverton
- 3Bremer
- 22Wesley
- 15Fabinho
- 16Danilo Santos
- 11Gabriel Martinelli
- 9Endrick
- 18Matheus Cunha
Morocco subs
- 16Munir Mohamedi
- 23Ahmed Reda Tagnaouti
- 15Issa Diop
- 22Zakaria El Ouahdi
- 14Ismael Saibari
- 17Neil El Aynaoui
- 20Soufiane Rahimi
- 21Chemsdine Talbi
- 19Ayoube Amaimouni
Brazil's 4-2-3-1 was designed to exploit Morocco's narrow defensive shape with wide runners, and Vinícius Júnior's movement in behind the Moroccan right-back was the decisive tactical thread of the first half. Morocco's equaliser exposed Brazil's vulnerability to aerial deliveries from wide positions — Alex Sandro was consistently beaten in the air by El Kaabi and was eventually substituted. The match ultimately turned on dead-ball quality: Neymar's free-kick was the difference between a routine win and a tense draw. Morocco's defensive organisation under Regragui remains elite — their 4-3-3 mid-block generated a PPDA (passes allowed per defensive action) of just 8.2 — but Brazil's individual brilliance proved too much to contain for 90 minutes. Brazil will be boosted by the return of Neymar to form; Morocco must address their aerial vulnerability before the next group game.
- Vinícius Júnior created or scored in 7 of Brazil's last 9 World Cup goals entering this match — his 23rd-minute opener was his 3rd in 4 WC appearances.
- Ayoub El Kaabi's header was Morocco's 6th headed goal in their last 10 major tournament matches — aerial delivery from Hakimi remains their most dangerous set-play route.
- Neymar's free-kick was his 4th direct free-kick goal in World Cup history, drawing him level with Juninho Pernambucano on the all-time Brazil list.
- Morocco's mid-block held Brazil to just 2 shots on target in the first 20 minutes, but once Amrabat was booked the defensive shape became more passive.
- Brazil's xG of 2.31 vs Morocco's 1.04 reflects a comfortable underlying dominance despite the scoreline flattering the Atlas Lions.
- Achraf Hakimi registered a match-high 4 key passes and 9 ball recoveries — the best individual performance on the losing side.