Prediction vs Result
8.0/10Correct result, off on the scoreline.
The AI report
The model read the outcome but not the detail. It had Brazil at 4–0, and Brazil duly came through — though the real scoreline settled at 3–0, good for 8.0/10.
On chances, the model penciled in 4 goals and the game delivered 3 — 1 fewer than projected.
Cunha, Cunha and Vinícius found the net, none of whom the model had on its teamsheet of scorers.
Cards ran 4Y/1R on the model's read against 4Y/0R in reality — a quieter night for the referee than projected.
Full comparison
| Metric | AI Predicted | Actual |
|---|---|---|
| Scoreline | 4–0 | 3–0 |
| Result | Brazil win | Brazil win |
| Total goals | 4 | 3 |
| Scorers | Vinícius Júnior, Neymar, Raphinha, Endrick | Cunha, Cunha, Vinícius |
| Yellow cards | 4 | 4 |
| Red cards | 1 | 0 |
| Possessionmodel only | 72%–28% | — |
| Shotsmodel only | 22–4 | — |
| Expected goals (xG)model only | 3.8–0.3 | — |
Score, scorers and cards are official; possession, shots and xG are the model’s projections (no official real counterpart).
Match Prediction
How the Model Sees It Unfold
- 11’
- 32’
- 34’
- 54’
- 58’
- 67’
- 73’
- 78’
- 81’
Match Info
- Tournament
- FIFA World Cup 2026
- Stage
- Group Stage
- Date
- 20 Jun 2026
- Kick-off
- 00:30 (local)
- Stadium
- Lincoln Financial Field
- City
- Philadelphia
Pressing & Heat Zones
Brazil dominated the final third, with wide channels and the left flank particularly active via Vinícius Júnior.
Haiti sat deep in their own half, rarely venturing past the halfway line. Activity concentrated in defensive third.
4-3-34-4-2
Brazil subs
Haiti subs
Brazil delivered a commanding Group C opener at Lincoln Financial Field, dismantling a disciplined but outclassed Haiti side 4-0 in front of a sell-out crowd of 69,000. The Seleção were ruthless in transition and relentless in possession, with Vinícius Júnior the standout performer on a night that felt like a statement to the rest of the tournament. The opening goal arrived on 11 minutes: Raphinha slid a perfectly weighted through-ball in behind the Haitian defensive line and Vinícius Júnior — running at full pace — finished low across Placide with his left foot. Haiti tried to reorganise but were undone again on 34 minutes when Carlens Arcus hauled down Paquetá in the box. Neymar stepped up and stroked the penalty into the bottom-left corner, a moment of history as he drew level with Ronaldo's all-time Brazil scoring record. The second half brought more of the same. Raphinha curled a sumptuous free-kick from 25 yards into the top corner on 58 minutes, leaving Placide rooted. Duverne's second yellow on 81 minutes compounded Haiti's misery, and substitute Endrick — who had come on for Neymar in the 65th minute — capped a brilliant personal performance with a composed finish in the 78th minute after being played in by Vinícius Júnior. Haiti's Jean-Ricner Bellegarde was their lone bright spot, winning duels and driving forward from midfield, but he was ultimately overwhelmed by the quality around him. Brazil cruise into matchday two with maximum points and a +4 goal difference.
- Brazil registered 72% possession — their highest in a group opener since 2014.
- Vinícius Júnior created 5 chances and scored once; Haiti couldn't contain his directness.
- Neymar's penalty was his 80th international goal, drawing him level with Ronaldo's all-time Brazil record.
- Raphinha's free-kick curled into the top-right corner from 25 yards — his 3rd goal in his last 4 World Cup appearances.
- Endrick, on as a 65th-minute substitute, took just 13 minutes to get on the scoresheet.
- Haiti's Duverne was dismissed in the 81st minute — their second yellow in the match — leaving them with 10 men.
- Haiti managed only 4 shots all game, none of which truly tested Alisson.
Match Report
Lincoln Financial Field erupted from the first whistle as Brazil — wearing their iconic canary yellow — tore into a resolute but outgunned Haiti side in what became a masterclass of South American flair meeting Caribbean grit. The 69,000-strong crowd, packed with Brazilian diaspora draped in green and gold, barely had time to settle before Vinícius Júnior announced himself on the world stage once again.
FIRST HALF — Brazil turn on the style
The opening 10 minutes saw Haiti attempt a compact 4-4-2 low block, but on 11 minutes the dam burst. Raphinha — electric from the first whistle — slipped a perfectly timed through-ball between the Haitian centre-backs, and Vinícius Júnior, ghosting in behind Ricardo Adé, finished clinically low past Placide. 1-0, and the tone was set.
Haiti tried to respond through Jean-Ricner Bellegarde, who drove forward purposefully and won a couple of dangerous free-kicks, but Brazil's midfield trio of Casemiro, Bruno Guimarães and Paquetá suffocated any sustained pressure. The second goal came via controversy on 32 minutes — Carlens Arcus, already booked, clumsily barged into Paquetá inside the box. Referee pointed to the spot. Neymar, calm as ever, rolled the penalty into the bottom-left corner as Placide dived the wrong way. 80 international goals. Level with Ronaldo. The stadium shook.
SECOND HALF — Raphinha's moment, Endrick's arrival
Brazil came out for the second half with the same intensity. On 54 minutes, Duverne received his second yellow card — a reckless challenge on Martinelli — reducing Haiti to 10 men with nine minutes still to play in the half. Four minutes later, Raphinha stepped over a free-kick 25 yards from goal and curled a sumptuous effort into the top-right corner, leaving Placide helpless. 3-0, and the contest was over.
The final act belonged to Endrick. The 19-year-old Lyon striker — on for Neymar in the 65th minute — latched onto a Vinícius Júnior cutback on 78 minutes and slotted home with the composure of a seasoned veteran. The crowd chanted his name as he wheeled away in celebration, pointing to the sky.
Brazil march into matchday two with four goals scored, none conceded, and a performance that will send a shiver through Group C rivals. Haiti, for their part, showed heart and organisation in the first 30 minutes, but the gulf in class was ultimately insurmountable.