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WC26AI — World Cup 2026 predicted by AI
Lumen Field
Group Stage
United States
19 Jun 2026
2 – 0
Full time
Australia
USA vs Australia — match action

Prediction vs Result

8.0/10
AI Predicted
21
Actual
20

Correct result, off on the scoreline.

The AI report

The model read the outcome but not the detail. It had USA at 2–1, and USA duly came through — though the real scoreline settled at 2–0, good for 8.0/10.

On chances, the model penciled in 3 goals and the game delivered 2 — 1 fewer than projected.

Burgess (og) and Freeman found the net, none of whom the model had on its teamsheet of scorers.

Cards ran 4Y/0R on the model's read against 7Y/0R in reality — a quieter night for the referee than projected.

Full comparison

MetricAI PredictedActual
Scoreline2–12–0
ResultUSA winUSA win
Total goals32
ScorersChristian Pulisic, Jackson Irvine, Ricardo PepiBurgess (og), Freeman
Yellow cards47
Red cards00
Possessionmodel only56%–44%
Shotsmodel only15–9
Expected goals (xG)model only2.3–1.0

Score, scorers and cards are official; possession, shots and xG are the model’s projections (no official real counterpart).

Match Prediction

56%Possession44%
15Shots9
2.31Expected Goals (xG)1.04
84%Pass Accuracy76%

How the Model Sees It Unfold

  1. 22
  2. 23
  3. 44
  4. 57
  5. 63
  6. 78
  7. 81

Match Info

Tournament
FIFA World Cup 2026
Stage
Group Stage
Date
19 Jun 2026
Kick-off
19:00 (local)

Match Report

FULL TIME — USA 2–1 Australia | Lumen Field, Seattle

⚽ 23' PULISIC (PEN) — Souttar's clumsy challenge on Pepi in the box gifts the USA captain the spot-kick. Pulisic sends Ryan the wrong way. 1–0.

🟨 22' Souttar (AUS) — Foul on Pepi, penalty conceded. 🟨 44' McKennie (USA) — Late challenge on Metcalfe.

⚽ 57' IRVINE (AUS) — Hrustic's corner from the right is met by Irvine's thundering header. Turner had no chance. 1–1.

🟨 63' Metcalfe (AUS) — Cynical foul on Reyna to stop a counter.

⚽ 78' PEPI (USA) — Adams wins it back deep, feeds Pulisic on the left. The Milan man cuts inside and rolls a perfect low cut-back to Pepi, who finishes first-time at the far post. 2–1.

🟨 81' Degenek (AUS) — Foul on Weah as Australia chase the game.

USA claim a hard-fought opening Group D victory on home soil. Pulisic's brilliance and Pepi's clinical edge prove the difference.