Prediction vs Result
7.0/10Correct result, off on the scoreline.
The AI report
The model read the outcome but not the detail. It had Morocco at 4–0, and Morocco duly came through — though the real scoreline settled at 4–2, good for 7.0/10.
On chances, the model penciled in 4 goals and the game delivered 6 — 2 more than it bargained for.
Bounou (og), Bono, Hakimi, Isidor, Saibari, Rahimi and Yassine found the net, and it correctly tipped Rahimi to score.
Cards ran 4Y/1R on the model's read against 3Y/0R in reality — a quieter night for the referee than projected.
Full comparison
| Metric | AI Predicted | Actual |
|---|---|---|
| Scoreline | 4–0 | 4–2 |
| Result | Morocco win | Morocco win |
| Total goals | 4 | 6 |
| Scorers | Brahim Díaz, Ayoub El Kaabi, Soufiane Rahimi, Ayoub El Kaabi | Bounou (og), Bono, Hakimi, Isidor, Saibari, Rahimi, Yassine |
| Yellow cards | 4 | 3 |
| Red cards | 1 | 0 |
| Possessionmodel only | 63%–37% | — |
| Shotsmodel only | 18–4 | — |
| Expected goals (xG)model only | 3.6–0.4 | — |
Score, scorers and cards are official; possession, shots and xG are the model’s projections (no official real counterpart).
Match Prediction
How the Model Sees It Unfold
- 14’
- 27’
- 34’
- 45’
- 55’
- 61’
- 71’
- 76’
- 78’
Match Info
- Tournament
- FIFA World Cup 2026
- Stage
- Group Stage
- Date
- 24 Jun 2026
- Kick-off
- 22:00 (local)
- Stadium
- Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- City
- Atlanta
Pressing & Heat Zones
Morocco dominated in Haiti's half, with high-intensity pressing zones in the wide channels and a dense concentration of touches in the final third.
Haiti were pinned deep, with almost all activity concentrated in their own half and defensive third as Morocco's press suffocated their build-up.
Morocco delivered a statement Group C performance, dismantling a spirited but outclassed Haiti side 4-0 at a raucous Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Walid Regragui's Atlas Lions set up in their trademark 4-3-3, pressing high and suffocating Haiti's build-up from the first whistle. Brahim Díaz was the creative heartbeat, drifting infield from the left to find pockets between Haiti's midfield and defence, and it was his incisive run onto Hakimi's cutback that opened the scoring in the 14th minute — a composed finish low to the near post. Haiti, missing key personnel through suspension, struggled to get Bellegarde on the ball in dangerous areas and were forced into a low defensive block by the half-hour mark. El Kaabi doubled the lead just before the break, rising above Lacroix to power home Ezzalzouli's pinpoint cross from the right. The second half was more of the same: Bilal El Khannouss, growing in stature with every passing minute, slipped Rahimi through on goal in the 61st minute for a clinical finish. The tie was buried when Hakimi's surging run drew a clumsy challenge from Paugain; El Kaabi stepped up and dispatched the penalty with authority. Haiti's evening ended in misery when Simon was dismissed for a reckless lunge on Ounahi. Morocco top Group C with a commanding goal difference and look every inch a tournament contender.
- Morocco's 63% possession was the engine of their dominance — Haiti barely had time to breathe in their own half.
- Ayoub El Kaabi's brace (header + penalty) underlines his status as Morocco's most clinical finisher at this tournament.
- Brahim Díaz ghosted between Haiti's lines all evening, registering a goal and two key passes.
- Haiti's Dominique Simon saw red in the 76th minute, ending any faint hope of a consolation comeback.
- Morocco's xG of 3.6 vs Haiti's 0.4 tells the full story — this was a controlled demolition.
- Achraf Hakimi's overlapping runs created two goal involvements and drew the foul for the penalty.
Match Report
The Mercedes-Benz Stadium erupted in Atlas Lion roars as Morocco turned their Group C opener into a masterclass. Brahim Díaz, wearing the No.10 role like a tailored suit, opened the scoring in the 14th minute — latching onto Hakimi's perfectly-weighted cutback and stroking the ball into the bottom corner before Placide could set his feet. Haiti's makeshift defence, already missing Duverne and Jean Jacques through suspension, looked vulnerable every time Morocco's full-backs pushed forward. Carl Sainté picked up a yellow card in the 27th minute for a desperate lunge on El Khannouss, a sign of Haiti's growing frustration. The second goal arrived six minutes before the break: Ezzalzouli's whipped delivery from the right found El Kaabi on the penalty spot, and the Olympiacos striker's header was too powerful for Placide to keep out. Duke Lacroix was booked moments later for a cynical foul, and Haiti trudged into the tunnel 2-0 down with their heads low. The second half brought no respite. El Khannouss orchestrated from deep, and in the 61st minute he split Haiti's defence with a through ball that sent Rahimi one-on-one with Placide — the Al Ain forward didn't hesitate. With the game long decided, Hakimi's barnstorming run into the box in the 78th minute drew a clumsy challenge from Paugain; El Kaabi stepped up and sent Placide the wrong way for his second of the night. Simon's red card in the 76th minute was the final indignity for Haiti. Morocco cruise to the top of Group C, sending a clear message to the rest of the tournament: the Atlas Lions are here to roar.