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WC26AI — World Cup 2026 predicted by AI
Lumen Field
Group Stage
Egypt
27 Jun 2026
1 – 1
Full time
Iran
Egypt vs IR Iran — match action

Prediction vs Result

3.0/10
AI Predicted
21
Actual
11

Result went the other way.

The AI report

Reality diverged from the script. The model leaned towards Egypt (2–1), but it ended level 1–1 — 3.0/10 on the night.

On chances, the model penciled in 3 goals and the game delivered 2 — 1 fewer than projected.

Saber and Rezaeian found the net, none of whom the model had on its teamsheet of scorers.

Cards ran 4Y/1R on the model's read against 8Y/0R in reality — a quieter night for the referee than projected.

Full comparison

MetricAI PredictedActual
Scoreline2–11–1
ResultEgypt winDraw
Total goals32
ScorersMohamed Salah, Mehdi Taremi, Omar MarmoushSaber, Rezaeian
Yellow cards48
Red cards10
Possessionmodel only56%–44%
Shotsmodel only14–9
Expected goals (xG)model only2.3–1.2

Score, scorers and cards are official; possession, shots and xG are the model’s projections (no official real counterpart).

Match Prediction

56%Possession44%
14Shots9
2.31Expected Goals (xG)1.18
83%Pass Accuracy75%

How the Model Sees It Unfold

  1. 16
  2. 18
  3. 38
  4. 54
  5. 62
  6. 71
  7. 76
  8. 79

Match Info

Tournament
FIFA World Cup 2026
Stage
Group Stage
Date
27 Jun 2026
Kick-off
03:00 (local)

Match Report

Under the grey Seattle skies at Lumen Field, Egypt edged out a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Iran in a Group G opener that had everything — a penalty controversy, a stunning equaliser, a red card, and a late winner from one of the tournament's most in-form attackers.

Egypt dominated the opening exchanges, with Mohamed Salah pulling the strings from a free-roaming No. 10 role. The breakthrough came in the 16th minute when Shojae Khalilzadeh lunged recklessly into Omar Marmoush inside the area — a clumsy challenge the referee had no hesitation in pointing to the spot. Salah, ice-cool as ever, sent Beiranvand the wrong way to make it 1-0.

Iran regrouped at half-time and came out with far more intent in the second period. Alireza Jahanbakhsh, lively on the right flank all afternoon, slipped a perfectly weighted through-ball into the channel for Mehdi Taremi, who took one touch and drilled a low finish past El Shenawy at his near post — a goal of real quality that silenced the Egyptian support in the stands.

The match turned again on 79 minutes when Khalilzadeh, already on a yellow, cynically hauled back Marmoush on the counter and received his second booking. Egypt, now with a man advantage, pressed forward immediately. Six minutes later, Salah — who had been Egypt's best player throughout — played a deft reverse pass into the feet of the surging Marmoush, who cut inside Kanaanizadegan and curled a composed finish into the far corner. 2-1, and this time there was no way back for the ten-man Iranians.

Egypt held firm through five minutes of stoppage time to claim a vital three points and establish themselves as early Group G pacesetters.