Prediction vs Result
10.0/10Exact scoreline called.
The AI report
The model called it to the goal: Croatia 2–1 Ghana is exactly how it finished — a flawless 10.0/10.
On chances, the model penciled in 3 goals and the game delivered 3 — nailing the goal count at 3.
P. Sučić, Luckassen and Vlašić found the net, none of whom the model had on its teamsheet of scorers.
Cards ran 4Y/0R on the model's read against 2Y/0R in reality — a quieter night for the referee than projected.
Full comparison
| Metric | AI Predicted | Actual |
|---|---|---|
| Scoreline | 2–1 | 2–1 |
| Result | Croatia win | Croatia win |
| Total goals | 3 | 3 |
| Scorers | Andrej Kramarić, Iñaki Williams, Ivan Perišić | P. Sučić, Luckassen, Vlašić |
| Yellow cards | 4 | 2 |
| Red cards | 0 | 0 |
| Possessionmodel only | 58%–42% | — |
| Shotsmodel only | 14–9 | — |
| Expected goals (xG)model only | 1.9–1.1 | — |
Score, scorers and cards are official; possession, shots and xG are the model’s projections (no official real counterpart).
Match Prediction
How the Model Sees It Unfold
- 23’
- 34’
- 57’
- 61’
- 74’
- 78’
- 88’
Match Info
- Tournament
- FIFA World Cup 2026
- Stage
- Group Stage
- Date
- 27 Jun 2026
- Kick-off
- 21:00 (local)
- Stadium
- Lincoln Financial Field
- City
- Philadelphia
Pressing & Heat Zones
Croatia dominate the left half-space and central corridor, with Modrić and Kovačić recycling possession through the middle third and Perišić stretching the left flank.
Ghana's activity concentrates on the right flank through Fatawu and Sulemana's driving runs, with Partey providing a deep pivot to launch transitions.
4-3-34-2-3-1
Ghana subs
Croatia's 4-3-3 was ideally suited to this matchup. With Jakić suspended, Kovačić slid into a more combative box-to-box role alongside Modrić and Pašalić, and the trio collectively outworked Ghana's double pivot of Partey and Owusu. The key tactical battle was Croatia's high press vs. Ghana's direct transition: Croatia won it convincingly in the first half, forcing six turnovers in Ghana's half before the break. Ghana's equaliser came from a moment of individual brilliance rather than systemic superiority — Sulemana's dribble bypassed Croatia's press entirely. Croatia's response was to drop slightly deeper and invite Ghana onto them, trusting the set-piece threat of Perišić and Gvardiol to be decisive. That gamble paid off. Ghana's 4-2-3-1 created width through Fatawu and Sulemana but lacked a target striker to hold the ball up; Williams's movement was electric but isolated. For Croatia, the result keeps their knockout-stage ambitions firmly on track; for Ghana, a point would have been a fair reflection of the first hour.
- Modrić completed 94% of his passes (51/54) and created 3 key chances — a masterclass at 40.
- Kramarić's opener was Croatia's 8th World Cup goal from an open-play through-ball since 2018.
- Iñaki Williams registered 6 dribbles completed — the most of any player on the pitch.
- Perišić's headed winner was his 4th World Cup goal, equalling Davor Šuker's all-time Croatia record.
- Ghana's xG of 1.14 flatters their conversion — Williams's goal came from their only shot on target in the second half.
- Croatia's press averaged 7.2 seconds to regain possession in the final third, suffocating Ghana's build-up late on.
Match Report
A sold-out Lincoln Financial Field witnessed a vintage Croatia performance laced with just enough drama to keep the Philadelphia crowd on its feet. Luka Modrić, now 40 years old and playing what may be his final World Cup, orchestrated proceedings from the first whistle with the unhurried authority that has defined his career.
Croatia broke the deadlock on 23 minutes through a move of characteristic elegance. Mateo Kovačić won the ball deep in midfield, turned sharply past Elisha Owusu and threaded a perfectly weighted through-ball into the channel. Andrej Kramarić, timing his run to beat the offside trap by a yard, took one touch to control and slotted low past Lawrence Ati-Zigi at his near post — his 20th international goal.
Ghana responded with the physical intensity that has always made the Black Stars dangerous against European sides. Thomas Partey, despite picking up a booking on 34 minutes for a crunching challenge on Kovačić, anchored their midfield and gave Croatia's press something to think about. Iñaki Williams was a constant menace in behind, and it was he who levelled on 57 minutes: Kamaldeen Sulemana burst down the left with electric pace, cut inside Stanišić and rolled a low cross into Williams's path — the Athletic Bilbao striker sidefooting home with composure from eight yards.
The equaliser visibly shook Croatia, and Joško Gvardiol was forced into a vital block to deny Williams a second. But the Vatreni's experience told in the final quarter. Luka Sučić, the young Real Sociedad midfielder growing in confidence with every minute, whipped an outswinging corner from the right on 78 minutes. Ivan Perišić, the 35-year-old warhorse, ghosted between Opoku and Abdul Mumin and powered a header into the top-left corner — a goal that drew a roar from the Croatian diaspora packed into the stands.
Ghana pushed desperately in the closing minutes, Alidu Seidu earning a yellow card for a cynical foul to stop a counter-attack, but Livaković was barely tested. Croatia held firm to claim three crucial Group L points, with Modrić raising his fist to the sky at the final whistle in what felt like a deeply personal moment.