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WC26AI — World Cup 2026 predicted by AI
Hard Rock Stadium
Third-place Play-off
France
18 Jul 2026
4 – 6
Full time
England

The AI predicted this slot as Spain v Brazil. The tie that actually happened:

Third-place Play-off · 18 Jul
France
vs
England
Before kickoffAI had France winning it all, England reaching the Quarter-final
This round21 · France 0.0/10
56%44%
Actual46· England through

Third-place games open up once the stakes drop, and France still carry the sharper attack: they hadn't conceded a knockout goal until Spain shut them out, while every England win in the bracket — Congo DR, Mexico, Norway — came by a single goal with Bellingham doing the carrying. Fresher legs and a point to prove after the 0–2 semi-final edge France through an open bronze final, 2–1.

Spain vs Brazil — match action

Prediction vs Result

0.0/10
AI Predicted
21
Actual
46

Result went the other way.

The detail below is the AI’s original pre-tournament prediction for Spain v Brazil — the matchup it expected in this slot, not the real tie above.

Match Prediction

58%Possession42%
19Shots14
2.40Expected Goals (xG)1.60
89%Pass Accuracy84%

How the Model Sees It Unfold

  1. 23
  2. 38
  3. 55
  4. 67
  5. 72
  6. 88
  7. 104
  8. 110

Match Info

Tournament
FIFA World Cup 2026
Stage
Third-place Play-off
Date
18 Jul 2026
Kick-off
21:00 (local)

Match Report

Under the Miami lights at Hard Rock Stadium, Spain and Brazil delivered a third-place playoff worthy of a final. Spain set the tone early, Pedri threading a perfectly weighted ball for Nico Williams to drive inside and beat Alisson low to his right on 23 minutes. Brazil pressed harder after the break and were rewarded on 67' when Raphinha skated down the right and pulled back for Vinícius Júnior to sweep home. Chances flew at both ends in the closing stages — Unai Simón denied Matheus Cunha, Alisson clawed away from Ferran Torres — and 90 minutes settled nothing. In extra time the substitutions and depth swung it Spain's way: Lamine Yamal, introduced to torment tired legs, jinked past Alex Sandro and cut the ball back for Mikel Oyarzabal to finish on 104'. Brazil emptied the bench in search of another equaliser but Spain's defence, marshalled by Aymeric Laporte, saw it through. Spain take the bronze medal 2-1 after extra time.