
The AI predicted this slot as South Korea v Canada. The tie that actually happened:

CanadaCanada's explosive attack — which plundered 8 goals in the group stage — is simply too potent for a South African backline that conceded 3 times in the groups. Jonathan David and Alphonso Davies provide the cutting edge to pull away after a competitive first half, with RSA's resilience limiting the damage but never quite threatening an upset.

Prediction vs Result
8.0/10Correct result, off on the scoreline.
Match Prediction
How the Model Sees It Unfold
- 34’
- 44’
- 58’
- 62’
- 75’
- 81’
- 88’
Match Info
- Tournament
- FIFA World Cup 2026
- Stage
- Round of 32
- Date
- 28 Jun 2026
- Kick-off
- 19:00 (local)
- Stadium
- SoFi Stadium
- City
- Inglewood
Pressing & Heat Zones
Korea concentrated play through central midfield and the right half-space, with Son drifting left to receive.
Canada dominated the left flank via Davies, with high-intensity pressing in the opponent's half.
4-3-34-2-3-1
South Korea subs
Canada subs
Canada edged a tense, high-stakes Round of 32 tie at SoFi Stadium, with Jonathan David's clinical double overturning Son Heung-min's early opener. Jesse Marsch's side were the better team across 90 minutes, controlling possession through the absent Stephen Eustáquio's replacement Ismaël Koné and exploiting the left channel relentlessly via Alphonso Davies. Korea's defensive shape — built around Kim Min-jae — was resolute until the hour mark, when Davies' surging run and low cross was expertly finished by David. The decisive moment came in the 81st minute: Kim Min-jae, already booked, lunged into Buchanan inside the box and David stepped up to convert the spot-kick with ice-cold composure. Korea pressed for an equaliser but lacked the creative spark to unlock a disciplined Canadian back-line, and Canada held on to reach the last 16 for the first time in their history.
- Jonathan David's brace — his 4th and 5th goals of the tournament — proved the difference, underlining his status as Canada's all-time top scorer.
- Alphonso Davies covered 12.4 km and created 4 chances, terrorising KOR's right flank throughout.
- Son Heung-min's 34th-minute opener was his 3rd goal of WC 2026, keeping Korea's hopes alive briefly.
- Canada's penalty was awarded after Kim Min-jae's clumsy challenge on Tajon Buchanan — a decision that swung the tie.
- Korea's xG of 1.3 flatters them; their best chances came from set-pieces rather than open play.
- Canada advance to the Round of 16 for the first time in their history on home soil, riding a wave of tournament momentum.
Match Report
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood — 70,240 in attendance, the vast majority of them draped in red and white, created an atmosphere that belied the neutral venue. This was Canada's moment, and Jonathan David made absolutely sure they seized it.
South Korea drew first blood in the 34th minute. Lee Kang-in, inventive and elusive all evening, threaded a perfectly weighted through-ball into the channel. Son Heung-min — Korea's captain, their heartbeat — took one touch to control and drilled a low finish past Dayne St. Clair at the near post. The goal silenced the Canadian end briefly, but it did not rattle Jesse Marsch's side.
Canada had been the better team in terms of territorial control and chance creation, and the equaliser felt inevitable. It arrived on 58 minutes. Alphonso Davies, a constant menace down the left, burst past Kim Moon-hwan with frightening acceleration and cut the ball back low across the six-yard box. Jonathan David, arriving on cue, slid it home with clinical simplicity — his fourth goal of the tournament.
The decisive moment came in the 81st minute. Tajon Buchanan drove into the box and Kim Min-jae, already on a yellow card, lunged clumsily and brought him down. The referee pointed to the spot without hesitation. David stepped up, paused, and rolled the ball into the bottom-left corner as St. Clair dived the wrong way. 2-1 Canada.
Korea threw everything at the final ten minutes — Cho Gue-sung and Oh Hyeon-gyu introduced in search of a leveller — but Canada's defensive block, marshalled superbly by Moïse Bombito, held firm. When the final whistle blew, the red-and-white end of SoFi erupted.
Canada are through to the Round of 16 for the first time in their history. Jonathan David is their story. Alphonso Davies is their engine. And this World Cup, played on their own continent, is becoming something truly special.
