Match Prediction
How the Model Sees It Unfold
- Wirtz · Musiala⚽23’
- 38’Karlström
- Goretzka54’
- 61’⚽Gyökeres · Isak
- 71’Starfelt
- Rüdiger78’
- Havertz · Raum⚽84’
Match Info
- Tournament
- FIFA World Cup 2026
- Stage
- Round of 32
- Date
- 29 Jun 2026
- Kick-off
- 20:30 (local)
- Stadium
- Gillette Stadium
- City
- Foxborough
Pressing & Heat Zones
Germany's attacking pressure concentrated through the left half-space and central channel, with Wirtz and Musiala combining in tight areas.
Sweden's activity focused on direct vertical channels, exploiting Isak and Gyökeres in the central and right attacking zones.
Germany subs
- 12Baumann
- 22Nübel
- 4Schlotterbeck
- 15Anton
- 13Groß
- 20Nmecha
- 11Leweling
- 9Beier
- 18Undav
Sweden subs
- 12V. Johansson
- 23Nordfeldt
- 2Lagerbielke
- 14Ekdal
- 8D. Svensson
- 18Ayari
- 22Zeneli
- 10Nygren
- 25G. Nilsson
Germany's 4-2-3-1 proved tactically superior to Sweden's compact 4-4-2 across the 90 minutes. Nagelsmann's side exploited the half-spaces between Sweden's midfield and defensive lines with Musiala and Wirtz rotating intelligently, dragging Karlström and Bergvall out of shape. The double pivot of Goretzka and Pavlović gave Germany the physical and technical platform to dominate the midfield battle (58% possession, 86% pass accuracy). Sweden's game-plan — absorb and hit on the counter through Isak and Gyökeres — nearly worked, and the two strikers combined for a genuine world-class equaliser. But the absence of Hien in central defence left Sweden exposed to crosses and set-piece deliveries, and Havertz's header was the inevitable consequence. Germany's depth and tactical flexibility make them a genuine contender for the latter stages; Sweden exit with heads held high, their tournament defined by Gyökeres's five-goal campaign.
- Florian Wirtz registered a goal and was involved in 4 of Germany's 6 key chances — the game's standout creative force.
- Viktor Gyökeres's equaliser was his 4th goal of the tournament, underlining his status as Sweden's irreplaceable attacking fulcrum.
- Germany's xG of 2.31 vs Sweden's 1.47 reflected their dominance in the final third despite the tight scoreline.
- Sweden's defensive absences (Hien suspended) were exposed: both German goals came from central-box delivery.
- Kai Havertz won 3 of 3 aerial duels — his late header the decisive moment in a match of fine margins.
- Joshua Kimmich completed 94 passes at 91% accuracy, controlling tempo and recycling possession relentlessly.
- Sweden's high defensive line was beaten twice by Germany's off-the-ball movement — a tactical vulnerability Nagelsmann ruthlessly exploited.