Match Prediction
How the Model Sees It Unfold
- Adingra · Diallo⚽34’
- Sangaré41’
- 53’Gueye
- 57’⚽Mané · Jackson
- Kessié67’
- 72’Koulibaly
- 78’⚽Jackson · Matar Sarr
- Ndicka85’
Match Info
- Tournament
- FIFA World Cup 2026
- Stage
- Round of 32
- Date
- 30 Jun 2026
- Kick-off
- 17:00 (local)
- Stadium
- AT&T Stadium
- City
- Arlington
Pressing & Heat Zones
Ivory Coast attack concentrated on the left flank and central areas; limited penetration in the second half
Senegal dominated central midfield and pressed high through the right channel; Jackson and Mané created overloads in the box
Ivory Coast subs
- 17Pépé
- 19Guessand
- 15O. Diomande
- 14Seri
- 16Oulaï
- 20Bonny
- 13Agbadou
Senegal subs
- 18I. Sarr
- 7Diao
- 26P. Gueye
- 21H. Diarra
- 2M. Sarr
- 25EH Diouf
- 9Dieng
Senegal's tactical shift at half-time was the decisive factor. Aliou Cissé moved Pape Matar Sarr into a more advanced role, effectively creating a 4-2-3-1 with genuine width and depth. This overwhelmed CIV's midfield three, which had been set up to dominate possession rather than absorb a high press. Ivory Coast's xG of 1.21 was largely built on first-half momentum; after the 60th minute they managed just one shot on target. Senegal's double-pivot of Gueye and Camara was outstanding — winning second balls, recycling quickly, and denying Kessié and Sangaré the time to play forward. Nicolas Jackson's physicality and link-up play with Mané gave Senegal a focal point that CIV's centre-backs could not handle in a two-on-two. The result is a fair reflection of the second-half balance of play, even if CIV's opener flattered to deceive early on.
- Sadio Mané's equaliser was his 37th international goal — a new all-time Senegal record at a World Cup finals.
- Nicolas Jackson's winner was his 3rd goal in 4 World Cup 2026 matches, cementing his status as Senegal's focal point.
- Ivory Coast's xG of 1.21 flattered a side that mustered just one shot on target in the second half.
- Senegal dominated the second-half press, winning 9 of 11 duels in CIV's defensive third after the 60th minute.
- Pape Matar Sarr's creative output (2 key passes, 1 assist) was the engine of Senegal's second-half turnaround.
- CIV captain Kessié was largely nullified by Gueye and Camara's double-pivot, completing only 61% of his passes.