Match Prediction
How the Model Sees It Unfold
- 21’Berge
- Kane⚽23’
- 44’Ajer
- 57’⚽Haaland
- Rice67’
- Bellingham⚽78’
- 83’Aursnes
Match Info
- Tournament
- FIFA World Cup 2026
- Stage
- Round of 32
- Date
- 01 Jul 2026
- Kick-off
- 16:00 (local)
- Stadium
- Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- City
- Atlanta
Pressing & Heat Zones
England's attacking threat concentrated down the right flank and central channels, with Saka and Bellingham dominating the right half-space
Norway's activity centred through the middle with Ødegaard and Haaland, with transitional bursts down the left through Nusa and Bjørkan
England subs
- 20Watkins
- 19Eze
- 14Gordon
- 16J. Henderson
- 15Konsa
- 17Madueke
- 13D. Henderson
Norway subs
- 7Sørloth
- 11Strand Larsen
- 22Bobb
- 18Thorstvedt
- 2Thorsby
- 16Holmgren Pedersen
- 12Tangvik
England edged a tense, high-quality Round of 32 clash at a rocking Mercedes-Benz Stadium, eventually prevailing 2-1 against a Norway side that showed exactly why they qualified for their first World Cup in 24 years. The match was shaped by two moments of individual brilliance — Harry Kane's ice-cold penalty and Jude Bellingham's thunderous late winner — bookending a breathless Haaland equaliser that briefly threatened one of the tournament's first genuine upsets. England's structural superiority told in the end, but Norway's 4-2-3-1 caused real problems and Ødegaard's creative influence kept Gareth Southgate's successor's coaching staff anxious deep into the second half.
- England's penalty win-rate in knockout football under Southgate's successor remains elite — Kane converted his 7th tournament penalty.
- Haaland's equaliser was his 4th goal of the tournament, continuing his record of scoring in every knockout game he's played.
- Bellingham's winner came from outside the box — his 3rd goal of the tournament and all three have been match-winners.
- Norway's high defensive line was exposed 4 times by England's runs in behind; xG conceded from transitions alone: 1.1.
- Ødegaard created 4 chances — the most of any player on the pitch — but Norway's finishing let him down.
- England's press averaged a PPDA of 8.3, suffocating Norway's build-up through Berge and Aursnes.